Predictions of the African Internet, 1994-1998
A look through news stories dating from 1994 to 1998 provides a glimpse into the infancy of Africa’s Internet years. In general, there was great hope that Africa’s economic and social woes would be cured by ICT in a matter of years. Many felt that Africa could skip dial-up and dive headfirst into the broadband and mobile age. Others felt that with some international help, it would only be a matter of years before Internet costs came down. Of course, challenges were anticipated, but they weren’t expected to linger a full 15 years later. Today, we are still hearing the same predictions and promises. A summary of some highlights:
- “On the Internet, Most of Africa Is Getting Off to a Slow Start,” The New York Times, Oct. 1, 1994 (Link):
- The article focuses on a Senegalese journalist who is attempting to transform the Pan African News Agency
- The poorly designed telephone system, built in colonial times, still routes local calls through London
- 50 people in Senegal are thought to be online (out of 11 million)
- “Linked to Internet, Could Africa’s Voice Be Heard?” The New York Times, Nov. 17, 1995 (Link):
- A senior telecom ministry official in the Ivory Coast is uncertain whether the Internet exists in his country. He knows it is a priority and hopes to see operational fiber-optic cables in 3 to 4 years.
- Only 12 African nations have active Internet connections
- Analysts warn Africa to get online lest the continent fall even further behind (the digital divide was on the horizon, but not yet there)
- A possible advantage is that Africa can skip the copper wire stage and jump into fiber optics and wireless communication. The result: overnight connectivity
- Fears of ‘telephone companies ranking as the most lucrative state cash cows’ are mentioned in the final paragraph
- “Out of Africa and onto the Internet,” New Scientist, Oct. 19, 1996 (Link):
- The first cyber café opened in Dakar, Senegal with 10 terminals
- The goal of the center is to become a cultural center and not a temple to the Internet
- Only 6 Internet cafés exist in Africa
- “Ringing Africa,” Forbes, Jul. 17, 1997 (Link):
- By the end of 1997, full Internet access is expected in the capitals of 35 countries
- This number was only 11 at the beginning of the year
- Africa ONE, an undersea cable system, is expected by 1999
- The private sector is leading the connectivity effort
- 80% of all data on Africa is located outside Africa by non-Africans
- Low income, high prices, and poor infrastructure will be challenges
- “In Africa, Reality of Technology Falls Short,” The New York Times, Jan. 26, 1998 (Link):
- The promise of the Internet is not yet seen in Africa: schools lack computers, cyber cafés are empty, and the infrastructure remains unchanged
- Congo has seen mobile phones, and Ghana and Senegal have a fast-growing web culture
- Ivory Coast has 30,000 mobile customers out of a population of 15 million, despite competition among the three operators
- People are interested in the Internet but lack a phone line and the money to afford a computer
- Cyber cafés charge US$7.50/hour and ISPs charge $127/month
- The commercial director of Africa Online describes the connection as ‘wanting to eat a typically Finnish diet in the middle of West Africa’
- The prediction: prices will lower as advancements in technology drive down costs. Everyone on the continent will live within 5 miles of an Internet access point before too long
- “Kenya’s Slow Drive Online,” Wired, Jun. 9, 1998 (Link):
- The chairman of the East African Internet Association compares his regions Internet progress to a road in need of repair
- The Kenyan Internet is viewed as elitist
- Bandwidth costs US$10,000/month for 64kbps
- Kenya only has 5 licensed ISPs and no regulator yet exists